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Zogby finally in line, Obama outside MoE in Reuters/C-SPAN/Zogby tracking poll

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Democratic Party presidential nominee Barack Obama moved outside the margin of error in his race against Republican John McCain, leading now by 6.2 percentage points in the latest edition of the Reuters/C-SPAN/Zogby daily tracking poll.

In this latest report, Obama gained 1.1 percentage points, while McCain lost 0.8 percentage points in the latest rolling average. Obama's 6.2 point advantage is the largest lead so far in the tracking poll. McCain has come within 1.9 points of Obama early on in the tracking process last week.

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Among those who have already voted - about seven percent of the sample - Obama leads by a 52% to 42% edge over McCain.

The more votes Obama banks in early voting, the more insulated his lead is should late-breaking events change the dynamics of the campaign.  A look at some battleground states and their early voting status:

  • CO: begins 10/20
  • FL: begins 10/20
  • GA: already underway
  • IN: already underway
  • IA: already underway
  • MI: no early voting (absentee ballots for limited circumstances only)
  • MN: limited reasons for allowing early voting
  • MO: no early voting (absentee ballots for limited circumstances only)
  • MT: already underway
  • NV: begins 10/18
  • NH: no early voting (absentee ballots for limited circumstances only)
  • NM: begins 10/18
  • NC: begins 10/16
  • ND: already underway
  • OH: already underway
  • PA: no early voting (absentee ballots for limited circumstances only)
  • VA: limited reasons for allowing early voting
  • WV: begins 10/15
  • WI: already underway

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  • 1 vote
Reply#1 - Tue Oct 14, 2008 7:01 AM EDT
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